Introduction
Interest Rate Modeling
In my eyes, interest rate modeling is one of the most interesting areas of mathematical finance. Interest rate (IR)
models are more complex than their simple equity counterparts. In the IR world, the underlying variable is an
entire term structure of interest rates, an unobservable quantity. Compare this to the equity world, where the
underlying is often a single stock. IR models also lay claim to a wider set of instruments, both in the underlying
and in the derivatives space. These instruments range from simple government bonds through to exotic derivatives
such as target redemption notes (TARNs). Accordingly, IR modeling lays claim to the most abundant theoretical
literature on pricing and hedging, and a fascinating history of how these models came into existence.
Beyond the theoretical merits of focusing on IR modeling, it's also the area in which I work. I sit on the interest
rates derivative trading desk at Barclays, building and extending in-house models that the desk use for pricing and
risk management. Accordingly, I feel comfortable weighing in on the existing literature and research from the
perspective of a practitioner.
The literature
The interest rate modeling literature is vast. There have been thousands of academic papers written in the field, from
the early work of Fischer Black on the Black model of 1976 and the Heath-Jarrow-Morton framework of 1987, to
the emergence of the Libor Market Model published in the work of Brace, Gatarek and Musiela in 1997. More recent
developments include the SABR volatility model, published in a paper by Hagan, Kumar, Lesniewski and Woodward in
2002, and post-financial-crisis work on interest rate modeling under a multi-curve framework.
There a few interest rate modeling books that really stand-out in the field from a practitioner's point of view.
These are:
- Interest Rate Option Models, Rebonato
- Interest Rate Models - Theory and Practice, Brigo and Mercurio
- Interest Rate Modeling I, II & III, Andersen and Piterbarg
I've listed these in increasing order of quality and usefulness. In my eyes, the Andersen and Piterbarg trilogy are all
you could possibly need in order to start and maintain a successful interest rate derivatives quant operation at a
professional level. In my work, I focus on these books, dipping into Brigo and Mercurio whenever a more detailed look
on some of the more technical aspects is required.
Beyond these big three of the IR modeling literature, I highly recommend a couple of texts covering the more general
volatility modeling space, these are:
- The Volatility Surface, Gatheral
- The Volatility Smile, Derman and Miller
- Dynamic Hedging, Managing Vanilla and Exotic Options, Taleb
Tutorial structure
In the following, I will follow the structure of Andersen and Piterbarg's trilogy of interest rate modeling, assuming
that a reader has a basic understanding of stochastic calculus, Monte Carlo methods and PDEs. My aim is to p
present these topics in a concise and digestible way, while still maintaining the key concepts and ideas. The structure
of the tutorials is as follows:
- Fixed Income Notation
- Fixed Income Probability Measures
- Multi-Currency Markets
- The HJM Framework
- Basic Fixed Income Instruments
- Caps, Floors and Swaptions
- CMS Swaps, Caps and Floors
- Bermudan Swaptions
- Structured Notes and Exotic Swaps
- Callable Libor Exotics and TARNs
- Volatility Derivatives
- Yield Curves and Curve Construction
- Managing Yield Curve Risk
- Vanilla Models With Local Volatility
- Vanilla Models With Stochastic Volatility
- Introduction to Term Structure Models
- One-Factor Short Rate Models I
- One-Factor Short Rate Models II
- Multi-Factor Short Rate Models
- The Libor Market Model I
- The Libor Market Model II
- Risk Management and Sensitivity Computations
- P&L Attribution
- Payoff Smoothing
- Vegas in the Libor Market Model
Notation
- F(t): Filtration of a σ-algebra
- P: Physical probability measure
- Q: Risk-neutral probability measure
- QN: Measure for numeraire N
- QT or Qn: Forward measure for date T or Tn
- EtN[⋅]: Conditional expectation with respect to
F(t) under measure N
- T0<⋯<TN: Tenor structure
- β(t): Continuously compounded money market account
- P(t,T): Zero-coupon bond (ZCB) price at time t for maturity T
- P(t,T,S): Forward bond price at time t for delivery of S-maturity
ZCB on date T∈[t,S]
- y(t,T,S): Continuously compounded forward yield at time t for the
period [T,S]
- f(t,T): Instantaneous forward rate at time t for maturity T
- r(t): Short rate at time t
- L(t,T,S): Forward Libor rate at time t for the period [T,S]
- Ln(t): Forward Libor rate at time t for the
period [Tn,Tn+1], i.e. Ln(t)=L(t,Tn,Tn+1)
- Sn,m(t): Forward swap rate at time t, starting at date Tn with
final payment on date Tn+m
- An,m(t): Annuity at time t with first payment date Tn+1 and
final payment date at Tn+m
- Un(t): The nth exercise value of a Bermudan swaption or
callable Libor Exotic
- σB(t,S;T,K): Implied Black volatility smile, parameterised by the
time t spot S, strike K and expiry T
- cB(t,S;T,K,σ): Price of a call option in the Black model
with time t spot S, strike K, expiry T and Black volatility σ
- cN(r,S;T,K,σ): Price of a call option in the
normal (Bachelier) model with time t spot S, strike K, expiry T
and normal volatility σ